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Trends

From temporary to permanent.
The whole journey, and where you stand in it.

Most people who become permanent residents through Express Entry didn't start there. They started as students and workers already building a life in Canada. This is that journey, drawn from official IRCC open data and thousands of real community timelines. Honest about what we know, and honest about what we don't.
0study-permit holders in Canada
0work-permit holders
0invited via Express Entry
0landed as PR via Express Entry

Sign in and claim your timeline to see your real dates and wait in every “You are here” block below.

Act 1 · Before Express Entry

You're already here, and you're far from alone.

Long before the ITA, there's a life being built: a program, a campus, a first job. If you're reading this from a classroom or a shift, that is exactly where most permanent residents were standing not long ago. Over a million people hold study permits right now, and hundreds of thousands more hold work permits. That is the ground the whole journey grows from, and it's worth seeing how large and ordinary this starting point really is before we follow it forward.

Who's here on a temporary permit

Number of permit holders, by permit type and program (latest full year)

Study permits

Post Secondary3,341,400
Secondary or less902,430
Other Studies404,155
Education level not stated820

Work permits

Canadian Interests3,755,775
Other IMP Participants707,935
Agricultural Workers673,155
Other Temporary Foreign Workers with LMIA645,230
Agreements297,300
Official · IRCCIRCC study-permit + work-permit holders

Top source countries

Number of study & work permit holders, by country of citizenship (latest full year)

India1,512,150
China, People's Republic of770,660
Nigeria169,695
France158,395
Korea, Republic of154,125
Philippines150,425
Vietnam108,740
Iran100,035
Official · IRCCIRCC study-permit or work-permit holders, by country of citizenship
These bars are head-counts, not averages: each one is the number of people holding that permit, and IRCC rounds the figures to the nearest five. Read together, they say something reassuring. Over a million people are on this same footing right now, and the temporary-resident population is the largest it has ever been. If the process feels lonely, the data says otherwise. The overwhelming majority of people who become PRs through Express Entry were already here, on a study or work permit, quietly building the work history and credentials that later earned them an ITA. You are not starting from the outside. You are starting from the same place almost everyone else did.
Sign in and claim your timeline to see exactly where you stand in this journey: your dates, your wait, your community.
Act 2 · The crossing

How people like you cross over.

Becoming permanent almost always means transitioning from a temporary status you already hold. Very few people arrive from abroad and land as PRs in one step. The most travelled road runs study permit → PGWP → Canadian Experience Class, one status flowing into the next. The chart below counts how many people made each crossing, so you can see which routes are well-worn and which are quieter. If your own plan follows one of the busier paths, that is a good sign: it means you're walking a road the system already knows how to process.

Temporary → permanent, by prior program

Number of people who became PRs, by the status they held first (latest full year)

Study Permit169,435
Official · IRCCIRCC transitions from temporary to permanent
Each bar counts people, not percentages, and the tallest one tells the real story: the study → PGWP → PR path is the most common route to permanent residence in the country. It isn't a side door or a lucky shortcut; it is the main entrance, the one most families actually walk through. That matters when the process feels uncertain, because it means the road you're on has been travelled by hundreds of thousands of people before you. It is also widening. Category-based draws for healthcare, trades, and French have grown in volume and can invite at lower CRS cut-offs than the general pool, which we look at closely in the next act.
Sign in and claim your timeline to see exactly where you stand in this journey: your dates, your wait, your community.
Act 3 · Getting invited

The bar you have to clear.

This is the part that keeps people awake. Express Entry ranks everyone in the pool by CRS score and invites from the top down, so the whole thing can feel like standing on a line that keeps moving. The question underneath every refresh of the draw page is simple and human: is the bar rising, and does my score clear it? The charts here won't promise you an answer, but they will show you honestly how the bar has actually behaved, who is getting invited, and which lanes tend to sit lower than the general pool.

Who gets invited, by program and year

Number of invitations (ITAs) issued each year, by program · 766,380 in total across all years

201521,535
201625,725
201767,745
201871,725
201971,630
202081,150
2021108,100
202237,320
202385,745
202490,005
202574,610
202631,090
Canadian Experience ClassFederal Skilled TradesFederal Skilled WorkerNot StatedProvincial Nominee Program
Official · IRCCIRCC Express Entry invitations (ITAs), by program

Each stacked bar is a count of real invitations for that year, not a share or an average. The shape of the stack has shifted over time as IRCC has leaned more on category-based rounds, so the program that dominated a few years ago may not be the one issuing the most invitations today. If your program looks like a thin slice, don't read that as bad news. It usually reflects how IRCC chose to split its draws that year, not your personal odds.

CEC draw cut-off, recent trend

Minimum CRS needed to be invited in each CEC round (recent draws, a score, not a count)

5345072025-08-072026-06-23
Official · IRCCIRCC Express Entry draws (CEC)

Each point is the cut-off from one CEC round, so this line is the bar itself, moving in real time. It rises and falls with how many invitations IRCC issues and how large the pool is that week, which is why a single high draw shouldn't be read as a verdict on your chances. Watch the trend rather than any one dot. If you're a few points under a recent cut-off, the honest read is “keep improving your profile,” not “give up.”

Latest cut-off by draw category

Most recent CRS cut-off in each draw category (a score, not a count) with the draw date

French (2026-05-28)409
Other (2026-03-05)429
Transport (2024-03-13)430
Agriculture (2024-02-16)437
Education (2025-09-17)462
Healthcare (2026-06-25)475
Trades (2026-04-02)477
FSW (2023-02-02)489
STEM (2024-04-11)491
CEC (2026-06-23)516
General (2024-04-23)529
PNP (2026-06-22)730
Official · IRCCIRCC Express Entry draws, all categories

CRS score bands of invited candidates

Number of candidates invited in each CRS score band (all years, counts rounded to the nearest 5)

Score 451 - 500305,895
Score 501 - 600137,635
Score 401 - 450122,305
Score 901 - 100081,405
Score 1001 - 110066,290
Score 351 - 40023,500
Official · IRCCIRCC Express Entry invitations (ITAs), by CRS score band
One thing worth holding onto before the numbers get to you: a draw cut-off is the score of the last person invited that round, not a grade on your file. It moves with supply and demand, not with your worth as a candidate. The more useful signal is that there is rarely just one bar to clear. Category-based draws for healthcare, trades, French, and STEM often invite at lower cut-offs than the general pool, because IRCC is filling specific needs rather than skimming the very top. If you qualify for one of those categories, your effective bar can be meaningfully lower than the headline number everyone quotes. So before you measure yourself against the general cut-off, it is worth checking which lanes you could actually be standing in.
Sign in and claim your timeline to see exactly where you stand in this journey: your dates, your wait, your community.
Act 4 · The wait

How long it really takes.

The wait is the hardest part, so we'll be honest about it from two directions at once. On one side is what real applicants in the community actually lived through, the median gap between AOR and eCOPR for people who shared their timelines. On the other is what IRCC's own throughput, the raw count of COPRs it issues, says about how fast the queue in front of you is clearing. One is lived experience, the other is machinery. Neither is a promise, and reading them together is far more honest than trusting a single number from either.

AOR to eCOPR: community timelines

Median days from AOR to eCOPR across 627 shared community timelines

104 daysmedian AOR → eCOPR · all streams (community)
Community · timelinesCommunity tracker timelines

COPRs issued: IRCC throughput

Number of eCOPRs IRCC issues per month

COPR throughput data arriving soon.

IllustrativeIRCC operational processing, COPRs issued (pending)
It helps to be clear about what each number is. The community figure is a median, the middle of many real waits, so roughly half of people finished sooner and half took longer. The throughput figure is a plain monthly count of eCOPRs issued, rounded by IRCC, a measure of how fast the line is moving rather than how long any one person waits. They come at the same question from opposite ends, and that is exactly why we show both. Neither is a promise; both are honest reference points. Your own wait will depend on when you applied, which visa office holds your file, and the case-by-case pace of review, so treat these as the shape of the road ahead, not a countdown clock for your file.
Sign in and claim your timeline to see exactly where you stand in this journey: your dates, your wait, your community.
Act 5 · Landing

Who crosses the finish line.

If you're deep in the wait, it can feel like Express Entry is the whole world. It isn't. It is one important channel inside a much larger picture of how people become permanent residents, and seeing the bigger frame can be steadying. Below is where EE sits within all permanent residence, and the occupations that land most often. One honesty note we take seriously: Express Entry (C) sits inside economic PR, which sits inside all PR (F). These are nested groups, not separate buckets, so the figures never add up to a single total, and we never pretend they do.

Express Entry within all PR landings, by year

Number of people admitted as PRs each year · Express Entry: 1,046,265 · all PR: 3,996,335 (all years; EE is a subset of all PR, so these don't sum)

Express Entry PR

20159,665
201633,150
201765,230
201892,090
2019109,415
202063,680
2021155,715
2022116,190
2023120,650
2024134,790
2025114,730
202630,960

All PR

2015270,830
2016295,480
2017285,625
2018320,050
2019340,180
2020183,640
2021405,205
2022436,680
2023470,740
2024482,570
2025392,735
2026112,600
Official · IRCCIRCC Express Entry PR admissions (C) within all PR admissions (F)

Top occupations of people landing as PRs

Number of new PRs admitted in each occupation (2026), counts rounded to the nearest 5

Other occupations62,335
3413 - Nurse aides, orderlies and patient service associates1,460
6311 - Food service supervisors1,295
4214 - Early childhood educators and assistants1,020
4212 - Social and community service workers990
6322 - Cooks940
Official · IRCCIRCC permanent-resident admissions, by occupation
Every bar here is a count of people who actually landed, rounded to the nearest five, not a rate or a projection. EE landings fell 73% year-over-year, a reminder that admission volumes shift with policy and targets rather than with any one applicant. The steadier truth underneath is that roughly 6 in 10 economic PRs arrive through Express Entry. EE nests inside the wider economic-PR class, which in turn nests inside all PR, so when you compare the two panels you're looking at a part sitting within a whole. These are separate official datasets shown side by side to give you perspective, not a single pipeline we're slicing up, and we won't invent a conversion between them to make the story look tidier than it is.
Sign in and claim your timeline to see exactly where you stand in this journey: your dates, your wait, your community.
Act 6 · After

Where you'll put down roots.

It's easy to picture PR as the finish line, but for most people it's really the start of the settled part. The journey continues into a city, a neighbourhood, a community that slowly starts to feel like home, and for many, citizenship a few years on. This last act steps back from deadlines and cut-offs to show where people who make this journey actually put down roots, and roughly when the door to citizenship tends to open.

Where new PRs settle

Number of new permanent residents, by the destination city they named (counts rounded to the nearest 5)

Toronto1,190,895
Montréal446,640
Vancouver436,965
Calgary241,925
Edmonton193,470
Ottawa - Gatineau (Ontario part)160,105
Official · IRCCIRCC permanent-resident admissions, by intended destination city

New Canadian citizens

Number of citizenship grants per year

Citizenship grant figures arriving soon.

IllustrativeIRCC new-citizen grants (pending)
These are counts of real people choosing real places to begin again, rounded to the nearest five. More new permanent residents settle in Toronto than anywhere else in Canada, though the map is wider than any single city and your own choice is entirely yours. Looking further ahead, Canadian citizenship eligibility opens after 1,095 days of physical presence in the five years before you apply, roughly three years on the ground (though the exact day-count is yours to track carefully, since it's easy to miscount). Keep in mind that citizenship is a separate application with its own processing time, so it's a milestone to plan toward, not one that arrives automatically the moment you're eligible.
Sign in and claim your timeline to see exactly where you stand in this journey: your dates, your wait, your community.
Why we're building this

The whole picture, honestly. A gift back to the community.

This community built a spreadsheet that helped thousands feel less alone. Trends is the next step: taking that lived experience and every dataset Canada publishes, and turning it into the clearest, most useful map of the journey we can honestly draw, so the next person doesn't have to figure it out on their own.

  1. 01Official is labelled official; community is labelled community. You always know whose number you're reading.
  2. 02We connect datasets as narrative, never as fabricated joins. No invented conversion rates, no false precision.
  3. 03Rounded and suppressed data stays rounded. Estimates say "estimate." A projection is never a promise.
  4. 04The personal layer is yours. "You are here" reflects your real, claimed timeline. Only you see it.

Source: IRCC — IRCC: Express Entry invitations (ITAs). Data through 2026 · published 2026-06-16 View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada

Source: IRCC — IRCC: operational processing (COPRs issued, new-citizen grants). View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada

Source: IRCC — IRCC: Express Entry permanent residents. Data through Apr 2026 · published 2026-06-16 View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada

Source: IRCC — IRCC: transitions from temporary to permanent residence. Data through Apr 2026 · published 2026-06-16 View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada

Source: IRCC — IRCC: study-permit holders. Data through Apr 2026 · published 2026-06-16 View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada

Source: IRCC — IRCC: permanent-resident admissions (all programs). Data through Apr 2026 · published 2026-06-16 View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada

Source: IRCC — IRCC: work-permit holders. Data through Apr 2026 · published 2026-06-16 View on open.canada.ca → · Open Government Licence – Canada