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Official IRCC data

CRS Draw History

445 invitation rounds from January 2015 to today. The cutoffs real applicants have faced, how the pool is shaped, where scores have trended, and honest estimates of what might come next.

Program
Latest draw · #445

Sep 28, 2026

PNP

Minimum CRS

725 -9

Invitations

733
2026 ITAs
129,715
2026 Avg CRS
545
2026 Draws
57
Days since
1
Tie-break: September 17, 2026 at 01:36:17 UTCPrograms: Provincial Nominee Program

The most recent round at a glance: the cut-off score, how it moved, and how many were invited. One draw is a snapshot, not a trend; the shape across many rounds tells you far more than any single number.

CRS score cutoff by stream, last 24 months

Each line is one stream · minimum CRS score per invitation round, not a count of applicants

This is the line to watch if you’re building your score. It shows where the bar actually landed each round, so you can see whether it’s drifting up, easing down, or holding steady in your stream.

PNPCECFrenchHealthcareOtherTradesEducation
114313512711910Oct 24Apr 25Oct 25Apr 26Sep 26

Each point is the minimum CRS score that received an Invitation to Apply in that draw. Scores are not counts of candidates; a single-point rise or fall in the cutoff can represent tens of thousands of candidates becoming eligible or ineligible. Drops usually mean IRCC is drawing a larger pool; rises mean the pool is smaller or the target invitation count is lower. Hover any point to see the draw date, stream, score, and invitation size.

2026 ITAs by stream

Each stream’s share of this year’s 129,715 invitations.

Which streams IRCC has actually been inviting from this year. A bigger slice means more invitations went there, and the mix shifts as IRCC leans into different categories through the year.

CEC: 53,250 ITAs (41%)41%
CEC53,250
French: 50,500 ITAs (39%)39%
French50,500
Healthcare: 12,391 ITAs (10%)10%
Healthcare12,391
PNP: 9,270 ITAs (7%)7%
PNP9,270
Trades: 3,000 ITAs (2%)2%
Trades3,000
Other: 1,004 ITAs (1%)1%
Other1,004
Transport: 300 ITAs (0%)0%
Transport300

Candidate pool: counts by CRS band

Where everyone waiting in the Express Entry pool sits across CRS score bands, how those candidate counts have shifted month over month, and the direction they have been heading.

These figures are candidate counts published by IRCC after each draw, not CRS scores. A larger band means more people are competing at that score range. If you are in the 451-500 band, for example, you can see how many other candidates share that range and whether the number has been growing or shrinking. A shrinking high-score band can signal that recent draws have absorbed candidates from the top, while a growing mid-band means more competition at those scores.

Pool · month-over-month

Total
+1%
501+
+8%
451–500
-1%
401–450
+4%
Full month-over-month ▾

What the next draw might look like

Modelled CRS score estimate per category, based on recent draw history. Not a promise.

Don’t use this for application, financial, travel, or life decisions.

Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
PNPLow
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
729 +4

predicted CRS · not due yet · ~13d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
694–765
Next-round odds
30%
Score stability
36%
CECHigh
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
520 ±0

predicted CRS · likely soon · ~0d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
517–524
Next-round odds
25%
Score stability
93%
FrenchMedium
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
395 +13

predicted CRS · likely soon · overdue 26d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
376–414
Next-round odds
15%
Score stability
67%
HealthcareLow
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
367 -108

predicted CRS · approaching · ~11d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
229–506
Next-round odds
10%
Score stability
0%
TradesLow
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
467 -10

predicted CRS · likely soon · ~17d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
427–507
Next-round odds
0%
Score stability
23%

These are patterns, not a promise. The predicted CRS is a weighted average of the last 5 draws per category. Score stability reflects how steady recent scores have been and how much data we have. The “next draw” timing and next-round odds come from each category’s past rhythm and mix. None of this is immigration advice, and it can’t tell you your own outcome.

Every draw on record(445)

Min CRS = minimum score invited that round (a score, not a count). Invitations = total ITAs issued.

Every round on record, newest first. If you like to read the raw story yourself, this is where the pattern behind all the charts above comes from.

Programvs Prev
  • #445PNPSep 28, 2026725 -9733
  • #444OtherSep 16, 2026389 +21250
  • #443CECSep 15, 2026519 -22,000
  • #442PNPSep 14, 2026734 +37576
  • #441HealthcareSep 4, 2026475 +2773,500
  • #440HealthcareSep 3, 2026198 -277229
  • #439CECSep 1, 2026521 -22,000
  • #438PNPAug 31, 2026697 -63562
  • #437FrenchAug 19, 2026382 -95,000
  • #436CECAug 18, 2026523 +71,000
Showing 1–10 of 445
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