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Official IRCC data

CRS Draw History

431 invitation rounds from January 2015 to today. The cutoffs real applicants have faced, how the pool is shaped, where scores have trended, and honest estimates of what might come next.

Program
Latest draw · #431

Aug 4, 2026

Provincial Nominee Program

Minimum CRS

768 +24

Invitations

507
2026 ITAs
105,123
2026 Avg CRS
553
2026 Draws
43
Days since
1
Tie-break: May 15, 2026 at 15:58:19 UTCPrograms: Provincial Nominee Program

The most recent round at a glance: the cut-off score, how it moved, and how many were invited. One draw is a snapshot, not a trend; the shape across many rounds tells you far more than any single number.

CRS score cutoff by stream, last 24 months

Each line is one stream · minimum CRS score per invitation round, not a count of applicants

This is the line to watch if you’re building your score. It shows where the bar actually landed each round, so you can see whether it’s drifting up, easing down, or holding steady in your stream.

PNPCECFrenchHealthcareOtherTradesEducation
114313512711910Aug 24Feb 25Aug 25Feb 26Aug 26

Each point is the minimum CRS score that received an Invitation to Apply in that draw. Scores are not counts of candidates; a single-point rise or fall in the cutoff can represent tens of thousands of candidates becoming eligible or ineligible. Drops usually mean IRCC is drawing a larger pool; rises mean the pool is smaller or the target invitation count is lower. Hover any point to see the draw date, stream, score, and invitation size.

2026 ITAs by stream

Each stream’s share of this year’s 105,123 invitations.

Which streams IRCC has actually been inviting from this year. A bigger slice means more invitations went there, and the mix shifts as IRCC leans into different categories through the year.

CEC: 45,250 ITAs (43%)43%
CEC45,250
French: 40,500 ITAs (39%)39%
French40,500
Healthcare: 8,662 ITAs (8%)8%
Healthcare8,662
PNP: 6,957 ITAs (7%)7%
PNP6,957
Trades: 3,000 ITAs (3%)3%
Trades3,000
Other: 754 ITAs (1%)1%
Other754

Candidate pool: counts by CRS band

Where everyone waiting in the Express Entry pool sits across CRS score bands, how those candidate counts have shifted month over month, and the direction they have been heading.

These figures are candidate counts published by IRCC after each draw, not CRS scores. A larger band means more people are competing at that score range. If you are in the 451-500 band, for example, you can see how many other candidates share that range and whether the number has been growing or shrinking. A shrinking high-score band can signal that recent draws have absorbed candidates from the top, while a growing mid-band means more competition at those scores.

Pool · month-over-month

Total
-1%
501+
+8%
451–500
+1%
401–450
-5%
Full month-over-month

What the next draw might look like

Modelled CRS score estimate per category, based on recent draw history. Not a promise.

Don’t use this for application, financial, travel, or life decisions.

Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
PNPLow
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
747 -21

predicted CRS · not due yet · ~13d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
699796
Next-round odds
35%
Score stability
17%
CECHigh
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
516 ±0

predicted CRS · likely soon · overdue 1d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
514518
Next-round odds
25%
Score stability
97%
FrenchHigh
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
408 +9

predicted CRS · approaching · ~7d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
398419
Next-round odds
20%
Score stability
78%
HealthcareLow
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
365 -110

predicted CRS · likely soon · overdue 12d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
212519
Next-round odds
10%
Score stability
0%
TradesLow
Experimental estimate · for trend-watching only
467 -10

predicted CRS · approaching · ~72d

Based on 5 draws

Details
Modelled from real timelines, not a promise
Range
427507
Next-round odds
0%
Score stability
23%

These are patterns, not a promise. The predicted CRS is a weighted average of the last 5 draws per category. Score stability reflects how steady recent scores have been and how much data we have. The “next draw” timing and next-round odds come from each category’s past rhythm and mix. None of this is immigration advice, and it can’t tell you your own outcome.

Every draw on record(431)

Min CRS = minimum score invited that round (a score, not a count). Invitations = total ITAs issued.

Every round on record, newest first. If you like to read the raw story yourself, this is where the pattern behind all the charts above comes from.

Draw #DateProgramMin CRSvs PrevInvitations
#431Aug 4, 2026PNP768 +24507
#430Jul 23, 2026Other368 -244
#429Jul 22, 2026French399 -215,000
#428Jul 21, 2026CEC516 -12,000
#427Jul 20, 2026PNP744 +36511
#426Jul 10, 2026Other392 -37500
#425Jul 9, 2026French420 +115,000
#424Jul 7, 2026CEC517 +12,000
#423Jul 6, 2026PNP708 -22534
#422Jun 25, 2026Healthcare475 +2524,000
Showing 1–10 of 431
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